How to Use a Stake Bet Analyzer: Upload Your Archive, Get Real Stats

Published 2026-04-19 · Tags: product, tools, guides, rtp

The complete walkthrough for running your Stake bet archive through our analyzer. Read every chart, understand every stat, and get honest feedback from your data.

I've looked at a lot of Stake bet archives. Friends' archives, my own, every support ticket where someone thought the site was rigged. One pattern is consistent: the numbers never match the memory. Sessions people remember as "even" are -$300. Sessions they remember as "disasters" turn out to be -$80 with one big tilt moment at the end that coloured the whole story.

The archive doesn't lie. Your brain does. This post is the full walkthrough for running yours through our Bet Analyzer, reading the output honestly, and what to do with the findings.

Why bother

Our analyzer is free, client-side (nothing uploads), and processes your whole archive in under a second. The alternative is what most players do: vibes. Vibes are why 31% of the 402 sampled users in our tracker are positive-ROI and the other 69% still keep coming back. The 69% who quit-and-never-come-back rate is much lower than it should be because people don't actually know they're losing.

Your memory rounds losing sessions toward neutral. It rounds winning sessions toward bigger. It rounds the biggest loss of the month out of the story entirely. Then next month you're back with the same budget and no information. The archive breaks that loop by showing the exact number, per game, per session.

Step 1: Export your archive from Stake

1. Go to Stake.com → click your avatar → Settings
2. Find the Archive section (sometimes under "Transactions" or "Bets")
3. Pick a date range. We recommend 30 days minimum for meaningful stats; 90+ days if you play a lot
4. Export as JSON (not CSV — the CSV loses the data payload with seeds and game info)
5. Download the file

You'll get a file like bet-archive-2026-03-24-to-2026-04-23.json. Don't open it in a text editor, it's big and your editor will complain.

Step 2: Drop it into the Bet Analyzer

1. Go to /bet-analyzer
2. Drag the JSON file onto the drop zone or click to browse
3. Wait ~1 second while it parses client-side (nothing uploaded anywhere, the analysis runs entirely in your browser)
4. The results fill in

Step 3: Read the summary honestly

The top section gives you:

• Total bets — just the count
• Total turnover (USD), the sum of all stakes, valued at each bet's historical date price
• Total returned (USD), sum of all payouts
• Net (USD) — returned minus staked; the bottom line
• RTP, returned / staked, expressed as a percentage
• Win rate, % of bets that returned anything > stake

Read the RTP carefully. If you're below the game's posted RTP (e.g. Dice is 99%, you're at 94%), you're in normal variance territory over small sample sizes. If you're below by a lot over a very large sample, something's wrong with your strategy (usually high-vol bets with not enough volume to converge).

Step 4: The per-game breakdown

Scroll down and you'll see a table broken out per game.

This is the gold. A typical table looks like:

The analyzer might be telling you that Mines is your problem — 87 bets but $850 in losses, because volatility is high and the sample size is small. You either grind 5,000+ Mines bets to give RTP a chance to converge, or you switch to a lower-volatility game where 87 bets already gives you a meaningful signal.

Step 5: Drawdown + streak metrics

• Max drawdown, biggest peak-to-trough loss across your session. Tells you how wild your worst stretch got.
• Longest loss streak, how many losing bets in a row at your worst.
• Stake-up-after-loss rate — % of times you increased your stake after a loss. This is the Martingale tell. Healthy play has this near 0%. If yours is 40%+, you're chasing.
• Chase-run count, sequences of 3+ stake-ups after losses. Degen smoke.

If you're looking for honest feedback, the chase-run count is it. Zero or one, you're disciplined. Above 5 — your session control is poor even if your bankroll survived.

Step 6: Session breakdown

We detect a session as "bets within 15 minutes of the previous one." When you go 15+ minutes without a bet, that's considered the end of a session.

For each session you see:

• Start time and duration
• Bet count
• Net P/L in USD
• Volatility / risk level

Read the distribution. If your 5 longest sessions account for 60% of your total volume, you have a problem with session length, not RTP. Shorter sessions = lower volume = less money exposed to the house edge.

Some players find the Session Rebuilder useful here, it lets you replay any detected session as an animated cumulative-P/L chart. Seeing the visual version of the numbers is more sobering than reading them.

Step 7: The what-if simulator

Below the main analysis there's a what-if panel. You can:

• Set a max stake cap, what if you'd capped every bet at $X?
• Set a stop-loss — what if you'd ended the session at -$Y?
• Set a take-profit, what if you'd ended the session at +$Z?

Hit replay and the simulator shows how your bankroll would have finished under those rules. Most degen sessions would have ended meaningfully better with even a generous stop-loss (e.g. -$500). Use the what-if to find a rule your past self should have followed.

Common results and what they mean

"RTP is higher than published, I'm up." Nice. Enjoy it, withdraw, don't expect it to continue. You're in the positive tail of the variance distribution; it averages back out over time.

"RTP is lower than published, I'm down." Normal. 80% of players are in this bucket at any given moment for reasons explained in our Stake RTP post (negative-variance skew of cumulative P/L + the 1% house edge compounding on volume).

"My win rate is high but I'm still down." You're probably on Mines or Plinko (high-vol games where individual win rates are high but individual losses are much bigger). Check your volatility column.

"My chase-run count is high." This is a behavior problem, not an RTP problem. Tools like the Vault help by removing the ability to reverse withdrawals, and session caps (set a hard stop-loss before opening the site) help for in-session control.

What this tool DOESN'T tell you

• Whether a specific bet was cheated. For that, use the Verifier with the server seed / client seed / nonce for the suspicious bet.
• Future expected P/L. The analyzer is historical. The future will look similar only in expectation, not in path.
• Whether to quit. That's a you question, not a data question. But the data makes the decision easier.

Privacy

Everything is parsed in your browser. No part of your archive is sent to our server. You can verify this by opening the Network tab in DevTools while you use the tool, zero outbound requests during analysis.

The honest use case

If you came here because a session felt terrible and you want someone to tell you it was bad variance, the analyzer will often tell you that. The math of high-vol slots is unforgiving.

If you came here wondering whether you're a chaser — you probably are, and the chase-run count will confirm it. That's the useful answer. Seeing the data changes the pattern more than willpower does.

Ready? Drop your archive →